Showing posts with label Fallacies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fallacies. Show all posts

Plato's "Grand Lie" - a.k.a. "Noble Lie"

Lie as a tool. Dangerous in the contents, and in the method of imposing it.

"The rulers then of the city may, if anybody, fitly lie on account of enemies or citizens for the benefit of the state; no others may have anything to do with it but for a layman to lie to rulers of that kind we shall affirm to be as great a sin, nay a greater, than it is for a patient not to tell physician or an athlete his trainer the truth about his bodily condition, or for a man to deceive the pilot about the ship and the sailors as to the real condition of himself or a fellow-sailor, and how they fare." (Republic 389b-c)
...

"...How then may we devise one of those needful falsehoods of which we lately spoke—just one Grand lie which may deceive the rulers, if that be possible, and at any rate the rest of the city? What sort of lie? he said. Nothing new, I replied; only an old Phoenician tale of what has often occurred before now in other places, (as the poets say, and have made the world believe,) though not in our time, and I do not know whether such an event could ever happen again, or could now even be made probable, if it did.

...I will speak ... the audacious fiction, which I propose to communicate gradually, first to the rulers, then to the soldiers, and lastly to the people. They are to be told that their youth was a dream, and the education and training which they received from us, an appearance only; in reality during all that time they were being formed and fed in the womb of the earth, where they themselves and their arms and appurtenances were manufactured; when they were completed, the earth, their mother, sent them up; and so, their country being their mother and also their nurse, they are bound to advise for her good, and to defend her against attacks, and her citizens they are to regard as children of the earth and their own brothers.

... Citizens, we shall say to them in our tale, you are brothers, yet God has framed you differently. Some of you have the power of command, and in the composition of these he has mingled gold, wherefore also they have the greatest honour; others he has made of silver, to be auxiliaries; others again who are to be husbandmen and craftsmen he has composed of brass and iron; and the species will generally be preserved in the children. But as all are of the same original stock, a golden parent will sometimes have a silver son, or a silver parent a golden son. And God proclaims as a first principle to the rulers, and above all else, that there is nothing which they should so anxiously guard, or of which they are to be such good guardians, as of the purity of the race. They should observe what elements mingle in their offspring; for if the son of a golden or silver parent has an admixture of brass and iron, then nature orders a transposition of ranks, and the eye of the ruler must not be pitiful towards the child because he has to descend in the scale and become a husbandman or artisan, just as there may be sons of artisans who having an admixture of gold or silver in them are raised to honour, and become guardians or auxiliaries. For an oracle says that when a man of brass or iron guards the State, it will be destroyed.

Such is the tale; is there any possibility of making our citizens believe in it? Not in the present generation, he replied; there is no way of accomplishing this; but their sons may be made to believe in the tale, and their sons' sons, and posterity after them. 
(Republic 414b ...)

Follow up...

The observation of intellectual Theodore Dalrymple offers a concrete instance of the application and consequences of this principle:
In my study of communist societies, I came to the conclusion that the purpose of communist propaganda was not to persuade or convince, nor to inform, but to humiliate; and therefore, the less it corresponded to reality the better. When people are forced to remain silent when they are being told the most obvious lies, or even worse when they are forced to repeat the lies themselves, they lose once and for all their sense of probity. To assent to obvious lies is to co-operate with evil, and in some small way to become evil oneself. One’s standing to resist anything is thus eroded, and even destroyed. A society of emasculated liars is easy to control. I think if you examine political correctness, it has the same effect and is intended to. 
(apparently in) Frontpage magazine (can't find exact reference)





















On the nature of proofs, causality, induction and leaps

Borges

What is induction?

Borges, with his usual mastery, summarizes what inductive reasoning is:

To think is to forget differences, to generalize and to abstract. (in Funes the Memorious).

The popular definition of induction is: to infer the universal or general from the particular. For example (a person, still in bed, looking from his window):
  1. (evidence) the sidewalk is wet, 
  2. (evidence) the sky is overcast, 
  3. (induction)
    1. when (the sidewalk is wet) AND (the sky is overcast) 
    2. it usually (modal qualifier) indicates (inductive evidence) that it has rained, 
      1. To refute (2) at least I should go outside and check my neighbor's lawn - but I'm not in the mood.
  4. (conclusion) therefore I believe (with some probability) that it rained last night. 
    Induction is a process of reasoning that moves from the particulars to the general. In other words, given some information about some particular instances of some phenomenon or event, induction is the process to arrive to conclusions about the general principles that explain, as a special case, the particulars at hand. As such, induction entails a movement of reasoning from a state of low information (particulars), to a state of higher information (general). This unbalance of information, in which the general conclusion wouldn't be reached soundly, calls for a leap coming from: probability of opinion, or intuition or any other valid device that facilitates the arrival to the conclusion. Nevertheless, inductive judgment could also have the opposite directionality, i.e. to go from the general to the particular, for cases in which the probatory steps to reach the conclusion are too many, or are uncertain (discontinuous), or just that the premises are necessary but not sufficient to establish the conclusion. Therefore induction involves judgmental leaps more or less endorsed by the premises, or by the reasoning. As such induction must necessarily be accompanied with an appraisal of the uncertainty involved (evidential support). As a footnote, informal fallacies arise in this step.

The framework of Induction - Leibniz's predecessors

Ramon Llull
To understand what induction is we must place it in its proper context, i.e. reasoning. I propose that for this draft we choose Leibniz's model of reason. Leibniz basically proposes that reasoning is an algorithmical/combinatorial operation of the human cognition. Reason combines simple thoughts to form complex thoughts. After all the term "Logic" means to compute, to reckon, count.
It seems that Leibniz got inspired by Ramon Lull and Thomas Hobbes in order to automatize Aristotle formal logic.
  • Lull's idea is: it would be possible, by the combination of a set of simple terms, to establish all possible propositions and thus to discover all possible statements and demonstrate all possible truths to which human knowledge can aspire (Pombo 352). 
    Leibniz disagrees with a few technical details from Lull's project, but not with the nucleus; thus Leibniz: (1) accepts a mathematical model of thought, (2) that there are some (few) primitive ideas, and that (3) there are some combinatorial laws to build any complex thought by associating the primitive ideas.
    Likewise Hobbes said in Leviathan:
  • reasoning is nothing but reckoning [calculation]...when a man reasons, he does nothing else but conceive a sum total, from addition of parcels; or conceive a remainder, from substraction of one sum from another ... those operations are not incident to numbers [alone], but to all maner of things that can be added together and taken one of another...In sum, in what matter so ever there is place for addition and substraction, there also is place for Reason, and where these have no place, there Reason has nothing at all to do.
Thomas Hobbes
    Both, Lull and Hobbes concurred in the combinatory character of reasoning. Hobbes yet contributed another ingredient to Leibniz theory, namely that reason is a linguistic activity, there are words, not only numbers or images. He adds:
  • The use and end of Reason, is not the finding of the sum, and truth of one, or a few consequences, remote from the first definitions ... but to begin at these; and proceed from one consequence to another. 
At this point, we could object that the views of Lull, Hobbes and Leibniz, constitute powerful, yet limited, inferences about reasoning. For instance, talking about combinations and literature, Borges says that the former cannot be reduced to a sort of algebra of combinations like Lull claimed, because there is a connection between the book and the reader, which cannot be grasped by the combinations. (Otras Inquisiciones, 237) And that makes perfect sense, not only in literature. I would say that reasoning sometimes is calculation; or, reasoning sometimes is a simplified modeling of reality with an algorithm. Some types of reasonings can be represented by formal algorithmical rules.

However, I believe that induction lends itself this conceptualization, therefore I will adopt Leibniz's combinatorial idea.

The framework of Induction - Leibniz's model

Leibniz (at Leipzig)
Leibniz advocated a demonstrative character to knowledge from first causes. As Ian Hacking says paraphrasing Leibniz: and "Truth is ultimately demonstration" or "knowledge had always been demonstration from first principles". Given the above, Leibniz proposes two approaches to deal with deductive and inductive reasoning as follows:
      1. logically deductive propositions are proven with a finite sequence of sentences
      2. contingent propositions are proven with an infinite sequence of sentences: "The reasons given for contingent truths must proceed to infinity.1
Thus for Leibniz, the proof is an algorithm, a chain o reasoning, an ordered combination of elements, such as words, sentences, numbers, etc. (Belaval 1986); an algebra to combine the epistemological objects. The word combination is used in the same sense as in Ars Combinatoria which is the pursuit of algorithms that allow reason to arrive at new truths, unexplored, unlike the "truths" that are demonstrated by formal logic (Marias ###). Along the same lines, Thomas Reid observed
In reasoning by syllogism from general principles, we descend to a conclusion virtually contained in them [Reid was one of the first to say that the syllogism was circular, i.e. is a petitio principii]. The process of induction is more arduous, being an ascent from particular premises to a general conclusion. The evidence of such general conclusions is probable only, not demonstrative: but when the induction is sufficiently copious, and carried on according to the rules of art, it forces conviction no less than demonstration itself does. Brief Account, 236-237.

My take on induction

  1. Inductive reasoning is, by far, the most common type of reasoning in real life. In any common physical situation there are infinite number of steps between two events. (Take for instance the sound emanating from the clapping of hands, there's the macroscopic explanation of 2 surfaces hitting each other, then, the continuum mechanics deformation of elastic bodies, and so on.) Human beings use the inductive reasoning much more frequently than deductive reasoning.
  2. Give its frequency, inductive reasoning cannot be infinite, but must be tractable so that can be used in real life.
  3. The tractability is achieved by shortening the infinite sequence by inductive "leaps".
  4. Each leap (shortening) is a simplification achieved by any of the available inductive actions (association, generalization, analogy), upon all the steps involved between conjoint (separated) instances of thought.
  5. Each leap constitutes an inductive reasoning, because it goes from the particulars to the general.

Precautions towards healthy induction reasoning

Leaps, or inductive judgments, are approximations to the true, correct judgment. To avoid fallacies emerging from faulty inductive reasoning, or at least, to keep it transparent and its uncertainty well defined:
  1. "Leaps" must be valid, and sound. Hume was concerned with the impossibility of human beings to reach perfect inductive (i.e. deductive) judgments, and that led him to skepticism. However, we shouldn't be skeptical if we know that they're just that, approximations, and we can live with that. 
    1. Such approximations must be verified and validated. Their applicability to the problem at hands must be guaranteed.
    2. The argument by analogy, is the one that most carefully should be watched carefuly, because it makes many assumptions about the reasoning process like: regularity, equality, etc.
    3. The incorrect leaps result in fallacies
    4. The fact that the validity of a piece of inductive reasoning lies in the realm of opinion is not necessarily bad. But the degree of belief has to be clearly stated.

Addendum

Collingwood contributes a very nice definition of abstraction in his Speculum Mentis (160ff):

"To abstract is to consider separately things that are inseparable: to think of the universal, for instance, without reflecting that it is merely the universal of its particulars, and to assume that 
one can isolate it in thought and study it in this isolation. This assumption is an error. One cannot abstract without falsifying. To think apart of things that are together is to think of them as they are not, and to plead that this initial severance makes no essential difference to their inner nature is only to erect falsification into a principle.... "

Lucretius in De rerum natura uses vestigia, footsteps, traces of truth.


1. Translated by (c) Lloyd Strickland from Textes inédits tome 1 Gaston Grua (ed) pp 325-326;  Sämtliche schriften und briefe series VI volume 4 Deutsche Akademie der Wissenschaften (ed) pp 1663-1664

References:

Borges, J. (1952) Otras Inquisiciones. Alianza Editorial - 1974.
Belaval, Y. (1986), Leibniz. Encyclopaedia Britannica.
Eco, U. (1993) The search of the perfect language. Wiley - 1997.
Hacking, I. (1975) The Emergence of Probability. Cambridge University Press
Pombo, O. (2010) Three Roots for Leibniz's Contribution to the Computational Conception of Reason. Programs, Proofs, Processes. F. Ferreira et al. (Eds.): CiE 2010, LNCS 6158, pp. 352–361, 2010.

List of famous fallacies


Perhaps a fallacy is something more than a flawed reasoning. Perhaps it's a symptom of something else, a competing process which is exerting a powerful influence in say decision making. Since human beings reasoning capacity may be based in at least two components: Logic and Emotions, then fallacies might be interpreted as intrusions of the emotional component into the logical realm of cognition. Maybe recurring fallacy patterns in ourselves or somebody else, may point towards emotional argument that's giving shape to our decision.


Anybody interested in producing sound arguments (i.e. enthymemes), will welcome a review of common fallacies. 
  • a) Draw conclusions from insufficient evidence. b) The premises are not good enough to stand the weight of the conclusion. c) The step from the premises to the conclusions is hardly valid.
  • Overlooking alternatives: Correlation doesn't imply causality. Either A can cause B, or viceversa, or an external C might be the cause.
  • Argumentum ad hominem: weakens an argument, or diverts attention from it, by attacking the honorability/integrity of the person behind it.
  • Argumentum ad ignorantiam: claim an argument to be true because it hasn't been shown to be false.
  • Argumentum ad misericordiam: Argue on something appealing to pity.
  • Argumentum ad nauseam: trying to prove something (usually false) by endless repetition. Brain washing. There's an interesting example in Plato's Republic, III in which a (false) story is crafted by Socrates to validate some social hierarchy. Socrates says to Glaucon: "...our unbelieving generation will be slow to accept such a story... Will our citizens ever believe all this? ‘Not in the present generation, but in the next, perhaps, Yes."
  • Argumentum ad populum: mobilize the emotions of a crowd to achieve approval of an argument. Also evokes Ortega y Gasset's "mass man" who justifies his decisions based on what the crowd does.
  • Circular argument (Begging the Question): To use the conclusion as a premise.
  • Metaphorical Fallacy to Deductive Inference: (MFDI): "The MFDI proceeds from informal semantical (metaphorical) claims to a supposedly formally deductive and necessary inference" (Lightbody and Berman, 2010). A special case of the false analogy fallacy.
  • Red herring (Irrelevant Conclusion): (or Ignoratio Elenchi) consists in an argument with the deliberate intention to divert the focus from the issue in question.
  • + 2 come
Here are some classifications of Fallacies
Fraunce's Fallacy Tree. Source: Hamblin, 1970.

Creighton, 1902
Whately's tree of fallacies (Source: Hamblin, 1970)


Indian tree (Source: Hamblin, 1970)



References

Engel, S.M. (1986), With Good Reason: An Introduction to Informal Fallacies. St.Martin's
Hamblin, C.L. (1970), Fallacies. Methuen & Co. Ltd. London.
Toulmin et al. (1979), An Introduction to Reasoning, Macmillan
Weston (2000), A Rulebook for Arguments. Hackett 
Wikipedia: A long list of fallacies is available here.
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The Autonomist: An extensive list of fallacies: http://theautonomist.com/aaphp/permanent/fallacies.php
Glen Whitman website: link
Taxonomy of Logical Falacies: Nice Chart in the Fallacy Files here
Very nice free /pdf  of logical fallacies here