Growth Models Survey

Growth models are tools to describe the increase in a variable as a function of another variable. I'll post here some models that I've came across along with a short explanation.

Exponential Growth Model

The number of units Nt (e.g. organisms) in time t (or next t generations), is proportional to its initial number of units N0 and the instantaneous growth rate r, i.e.



If r > 0, N increases. If r < 0, N decreases. If r = 0, N = N0. Parameter r can be interpreted as a difference between births rate (b) and  mortality rate (m). By taking derivative of Nt we have:




References:
Sharov, A. website
https://www.math.duke.edu/education/postcalc/growth/growth4_6.html



Logistic Model
3-Parameter

The model equation is:



where C is the limiting value, B has no easy interpretation but is related to the spread of the curve in the x-axis and A is a constant related to the origin of coordinates. If the x is chosen so that x = 0 corresponds to the inflection point, then A = 1.
This model is symmetric around the inflection point which occurs at C / 2. This means that the curve's 2 branches are equal. The derivative, if A = 1,  is

dy/dx for the graph above


If A  1, then the inflection point coordinates are located at (x,y) = ((lnA)/B, C/2) and dx/dy is:


References:

  • http://www.cs.xu.edu/math/math120/01f/logistic.pdf
  • Richards, F.J. (1959), A Flexible Growth Function for Empirical Use, J. Exp. Bot. (1959) 10 (2): 290-301.
  • Good website on Population Growth Models: here





(to be continued...)

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